Markets on Hazardous Waters

7 APRIL 2026

A rapidly shifting geopolitical landscape — now with the Middle East conflict at the center of market attention — is reshaping fundamental economic outlooks. Diversification flows that were firmly in place before the conflict are reversing, while long-held assumptions about safe-haven assets are being put to the test.

The CAIM team, together with Momentum’s Chief Economist, Sanisha Packirisamy, explored the potential impact of this fast-evolving environment on the long-term economic outlook and global monetary regimes.

Gain actionable insights and strategic perspectives to help navigate this increasingly complex financial landscape - and stay ahead in a world defined by uncertainty.

In this session we examined the impact of:
  • Energy market vulnerability: The world’s most critical energy chokepoint, the Strait of Hormuz, where any disruption could significantly destabilize global energy markets.
  • Repricing of monetary regimes: Market forces driving a reassessment of central bank policies, including those of institutions such as the Federal Reserve and other major global central banks.
  • Liquidity under stress: How tightening or fragmented liquidity conditions behave during periods of elevated market stress.
  • Resilience of “risk-free” assets: The performance and reliability of traditional safe havens in a changing geopolitical order.
  • Global capital flows: Shifts in diversification and capital allocation patterns during periods of conflict versus stability.